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Archive for the ‘Denver, CO’ Category

Last Call

Friday, April 2nd, 2010 by Bob Connors

The $8,000 tax credit is set to expire very soon.  Buyers must be under contract by April 30, 2010.

The consensus seems to be that Congress will not renew the tax credit.  I’m torn between wanting our country to pursue responsible fiscal policy and reducing the national debt, and wanting this tax credit to continue as I’ve seen first-hand the effect it’s had on the market.

Buyers I’ve been working with are quite aware of the tax credit.  It remains to be seen what happens to the market after the tax credit expires.

The good news is that we’re entering the traditional busy season in real estate, so it’s likely that the tax credit expiration will not have a measurable effect on the number of contracts given that we’re entering the spring/summer strong season.  Final analysis will likely have to wait until next year.

Call or email bob@realasave.com if you have any questions about the tax credit, or Boulder or Denver real estate in general.

NAR Chess Game

Tuesday, November 10th, 2009 by Bob Connors

There have been so many cool real estate sites popping up in recent years (Trulia, Zillow, Redfin, etc) that it seemed as if the monsters like Realtor.com were destined for obsolescence just as soon as the average consumer started trusting the new techno sites for their real estate search.  But not so fast.

The NAR announced a recent take over of Cyberhomes assets and data, and is revealing an interested long-term strategy to compete with these new kids on the block.  Will it work?  Maybe.  Who does it benefit?  See this awesome article on 1000 Watt Consulting for an in-depth analysis.

This news made me recall another incredible article/piece of news by the ever-entertaining and brilliant Notorious ROB where he discusses how a little guy (think local real estate agencies) may have suddenly delivered a potential knock-out punch to the tech-heavy real estate start-ups of the last 4 years.  In a nut-shell, ROB comments that a particular local real estate company has just unveiled a new website which competes and possibly exceeds the user experience and amount of data delivered by these tech start-ups.  Big deal, right?  Maybe not.

One thing is for sure: it’s an interesting time to be in the real estate industry.  Who will survive?  I’m not sure.  I know that I’m constantly amazed by some of the tech start-ups like Redfin and the now bankrupt BuySide Realty/Iggys House who receive all this VC money and ALSO offer deep discounts.  How can these companies be soooo top-heavy and programmer heavy and also offer deep discounts and also survive?  I don’t know.  I know that the only way we’ve survived while offering deep discounts is by offering a level of service that the above discounters don’t or can’t.  We’re basically offering the same service as a traditional agent, AND we offer discounts.  How?  Our overhead is almost non-existent, no multi-level management, no VC money, no standing staff of programmers.

But that’s not enough, is it?  No, I don’t think so.  I think that we also need to provide great service AND a great user experience on our website.  Which brings me back to the above point made by Notorious ROB: if little guys can deliver a big, satisfying punch on their websites then what will drive people to keep using the large tech sites?  The answer to that question remains to be seen, but if the age-old adage that “all real estate is local” is true (which i think it is), then the answer is: nothing.  If, in the near future, there’s no significant difference between the average local agent’s site in regards to data and user experience when compared to the big non-local tech sites, then there’s really nothing but recent momentum to keep carrying new users to those tech sites.  And momentum can change.

Pay It Forward

Friday, November 6th, 2009 by Bob Connors

Uncle Sammy has agreed to keep his pockets open through April 30, 2010.  And now, even more home buyers will be eligible to reach in and grab $8,000.  Here are the details:

  1. First-time home buyers are eligible for an $8,000 tax credit.
  2. Current homeowners who have lived in their current home for 5 consecutive years are eligible for a $6,500 tax credit if they purchase a NEW home.
  3. If you have bought a home previously but have not owned a home in last 3 years then you’re eligible for the $8,000 tax credit.
  4. Income limits: $125,000 for an individual, $250,000 for a couple.
  5. The home must be $800,000 or less and cannot be a vacation or second home.

Pretty generous overall.

I’m torn about this tax credit.  I’ve come out pretty consistently in favor of the tax credit as it appears to have a direct effect on the buying habits of my Denver and Boulder clients.  It’s clearly one of the issues they’re considering when making their decision to buy at this time.  So expanding the tax credit will likely continue to help buyers get off the fence and jump in to home ownership if they were considering it in the first place.

But I just can’t help but to wonder what is going to happen with all of our debt in this country.  Tax credits like this equal lost revenue for the Fed.  God knows we’re already in hock up to our necks with China holding most of the purse strings.  What happens if the Chinese decide to transition out of the US Dollar and into other currencies as suggested by this article?

A Little Action

Saturday, October 31st, 2009 by Bob Connors

Wow, 2009 is certainly going out with a bang. Lots and lots of contract action in the Denver/Boulder region right now in what is traditionally a very SLOW time of year.

It’s possibly a reaction to the 8k tax credit from Uncle Sam, but I don’t think so. It seems like buyers are snatching up bargain properties once they hit the magical correct list price.

It just proves that when it comes to pricing, it’s better to SET the market than to CHASE the market. Yes, it’s honestly better to be a just slightly low and to get a quick sale and/or multiple offers than it is to be over priced and to linger on the market.

The reasoning behind this is many-fold. But if you simply factor in your carrying costs, you’ll see that holding on to your property for 6 months while it lingers on the market has costs associated with it. It can easily cost a seller thousands of dollars a month, for 6 or more months, to sit on a slightly over priced property. We’re talking 10’s of thousands of dollars. Why not just drop the price to begin with and generate multiple offers over a very brief time frame (with low or no carrying costs), the result of which could be a bidding war (higher sales than list price) as well as a quick closing?

Not to mention that properties which sit on the market tend to attract low-ball offers as buyers seem to sense blood in the water.

Email bob@realasave.com for any questions about the Boulder or Denver real estate market, or if you’re interested in getting 50% of our paycheck via our Buyer Rebate Program.

Give me 8k

Monday, October 26th, 2009 by Bob Connors

Should the $8,000 tax credit be extended? Should everyone just calm down already and stop writing and talking so much about the tax credit. Yes, and yes. I’ve written about it previously, and this likely won’t be the last time.

Why?
Well, in a world of bad real estate news free money! always cheers people up. Is it the right thing to do? I’m really not sure. I know that I’ve come out in favor of it in earlier posts and I still do like the idea because I can see the effect it has had on some “on-the-fence-buyers”. Enough to get them off the fence and writing on a home.

But honestly, if an $8,000 tax credit is your only reason for buying a home,then…maybe it’s not the best idea for you right now. Home ownership is an expensive commitment, and you had better have more reason than Uncle Sam’s 8k to jump in.

Episode #37: Sammy Strikes Again

Thursday, October 22nd, 2009 by Bob Connors

In the land of the broke, the one-nickle man is king.  Let me start by stating the obvious: I may be wrong.  My opinion doesn’t really mean anything.  It’s just my opinion.  And I’m not brilliant, just average intelligence at best.  But it seems painfully obvious to me that if you encourage a new round of first-time home buyers to jump in to the real estate game when they don’t even have enough for a down payment, then you’re just asking for trouble.

This is pretty much what the current administration is doing by creating this “fake”  bond market.  I’ve mentioned earlier how the housing collapse took this bond market with it.  It just disappeared…there was no longer a bond market where investors bought and sold mortgage-backed securities.  Makes sense, right?  If those securities are worthless, then who is going to buy them.  Well, you are.  And me.  We are buying them.

The Federal Government is jumping back into the mortgage security game and plans on buying up Fannie and Freddie assets backed by state bonds in order to finance loans to first time home buyers.  Part of program also helps people with BAD loans get refinancing.  I’m not opposed to that at all, in fact that seems like a good idea to me. If you can take someone from an arm loan that adjusted to 12% to a fixed loan at 5% and they can avoid foreclosure, then great! I’m all for it.

My problem with this program is that it appears that we haven’t learned anything from our recent mistakes.  Wouldn’t it be great if everyone could afford a home?  Sure, that sounds really nice.  Maybe even Utopian.  But is that that case?  Should we be messing around like this and continuing to encourage home ownership to people who just can’t afford it?  What’s wrong with renting and saving for a down payment?  I’m NOT talking about saving for a 20% down payment, no.  The current FHA minimum down payment is only 3.5%.  Just three and a half percent.  That’s $7,000 down for a $200,000 home. Doesn’t it seem reasonable to expect a potential home owner to come up with 3.5%?  And if they can’t, then that’s ok.  It doesn’t mean your a bad person if you need to rent for a while in order to SAVE up that 3.5%.  I’ve rented for more of my adult life than I’ve owned a home.  I’m a decent guy, not some sort of miscreant.

Rent does not equal Bad.  Ownership does not equal good.  Let your reality dictate whether you rent or own.  RESPONSIBLE home ownership is a great thing.  Responsible renting is also a good thing, especially if it affords you the opportunity to SAVE some money.

Episode #36: Subprime Sammy

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009 by Bob Connors

Uncle Sam is indicating that he’d like to use a few of our tax dollars to finance billions in loans. Great. Now, I’m all for the current $8,000.00 tax credit as I’ve seen first hand benefits for buyers I’ve been working with in the Denver and Boulder markets.  But this is a much different creature.

The program I’m referring to is the one announced today by the Obama Administration whereby the Federal Government will become the new buyer in the previously evaporated mortgage-backed security market, thus allowing state agencies to fund millions of mortgages.  What?  Basically, when the economy and housing market imploded last year the bond market for mortgage backed securities disappeared.    This caused various HFA’s (housing finance agencies) to cease giving loans or raise rates considerably.  So now Uncle Sam is Subprime Sammy!, your mortgage backed security expert and buyer extraordinaire.

All kidding aside- how is the potential of this program any different than what subprime lenders did over the last decade or so to “encourage” first time buyers to jump into the market?  Aren’t we currently living through the aftermath of the collapse of just such a program?

Part of this program would allow first-time buyers to use the future $8,000 tax credit as part of their down payment.  Another bad idea.  This means that this new round of buyers will have the same amount of skin in the game as the subprime borrowers who got 100% financing in 2003.  None.  So there is no incentive to stay in the game, and we might as well look forward to another massive wave of foreclosures 3-5 years from now when some of these new homeowners realize that this is not their cup of tea.

I’m all for helping first-time buyers…we do it all the time at Real-a-Save.  But if a potential buyer has ZERO dollars, then maybe, just maybe, they’re NOT a potential buyer after all.  FHA loans require 3.5% down right now.  That’s a pretty darn good deal.  Why are we looking for ways to require zero down?  Isn’t that exactly what got us here in the first place?

Email bob@realasave.com if you have any real estate questions, or if you would like to know about our Colorado commission rebate program.  And no, you cannot use a commission rebate towards your down payment;-)

Episode #35: Louisville, Colorado

Friday, October 16th, 2009 by Bob Connors

Yes, the sky has fallen.  Agreed, the real estate market has been rocked over the past year and a half.  Yes, the economy sucks.  Yes, it’s completely annoying to hear another tool-box Realtor telling you how GREAT! everything is and WHAT A WONDERFUL TIME IT IS TO BUY!.  I’m embarrassed by some of my esteemed colleagues, and completely annoyed by the NAR advertising campaign telling us how GREAT! things are.  Puke.

The truth is wrapped in an old cliche: all real estate is local.  Maybe it is a great time to buy.  Maybe it’s an awful time to buy and you should just keep renting.  It all depends on where you live and where you’re looking to buy.  Sounds obvious, right?

Colorado has been hit hard, really hard, by the real estate downturn.  But there are areas of relative strength.  Louisville, Colorado is one of them.  It doesn’t hurt that Louisville keeps getting mentioned by Money Magazine as the best place to live.  It also doesn’t hurt that it’s a great little town with a lot going for it.  But there are a lot of great little towns with a lot going for them that are AWFUL places to buy right now.  What sets this one apart?

Conoco Phillips just purchased an office campus a few minutes from Louisville in the Northwest corridor between Denver and Boulder.  There are future jobs.  They’re building an office tower.  Future jobs.  IBM, Sun Microsystems, WhiteWave Foods,  and Amgen (just to name a few) are some of the big companies just a stone’s throw from Louisville.

But really, the proof is in the pudding.  There were 21 sales in Louisville in the last 30 days where the sellers got almost 98% of list price.  Anecdotal point: every time we represent a buyer in Louisville it seems that we’re in a competing offer situation; the last home we sold in Louisville was on the market for one weekend before we had 2 offers.  Louisville is a good place to buy.  Period.  Great lifestyle, Boulder Valley Schools, lots of technology jobs.

No kidding.

Check out all the Louisville, Colorado homes for sale on this map search link.  And email bob@realasave.com if you have any Denver, Boulder,  or Louisville, real estate questions.  And remember that we rebate 50% of our commission back to you in our Colorado rebate program.

Episode #34: Appraise This!

Thursday, October 15th, 2009 by Bob Connors


You’ve got a contract on your home and you’ve just sailed through inspections without a hitch.  All’s well, right?  Maybe.

It used to be that once you get through inspections it was all downhill from there.  Closing is just around the corner and unless the buyer decides to bail on the contract then the property should close (Incidentally,  buyers are really in charge and have lots of protection in Colorado.  More on that another time ).   But with the way that the lending industry is reacting, and often overreacting, to the recent housing meltdown, there is a new hurdle that’s often more treacherous than inspection: The Appraisal.

I have no problem with an honest, experienced, reliable appraiser doing his or her job and placing a proper value on a home.  And if that value is less than the contract price then so be it.  Appraisers serve a very important function in the real estate world.  And honestly, if there were more rigorous appraisals in years past then maybe we would have had the severe run up in housing prices we saw over the last decade or so…that’s debatable, but an interesting issue none the less.

The problem I have with the way that appraisals are currently done is that we are getting inexperienced appraisers who are often NOT familiar with the neighborhood trends and micro-market they’re working in.  Does this sound like typical BS from a Realtor who just wants the deal to close?  Sure, I understand skepticism like that.  But all real estate IS local.  And you truly need to understand how pricing works from one city and one neighborhood to the next if you’re going to put a proper value on a place.

What to do?  Well, since there’s really no way for sellers to change appraisal laws/rules and force lenders to hire experienced, impartial, LOCAL appraisers, then we have to do the next best thing: make sure you have pricing support IN HAND at every moment when your home is for sale.  Sounds obvious, right?  Well, not to everyone.  Maybe you’ve had your home listed for 9 months and you started out at $350k, and dropped to $345k a few weeks ago.  You remember the comps from 9 months ago and they clearly supported a price of 345-350k, so you priced on the high side (which is not the best tactic anyway…).  But it’s quite possible that the market has dropped significantly since then.  And when an appraiser comes to value your home they’re only going to be interested in the last 3 months of sold comps.  And there had better be about 3 of them.

So be sure you are constantly updating your sold comps as you sit on the market.  Numbers don’t lie.  If home values are dropping significantly in your area then it’s best to SET the market then to chase the market.  Price just under what the numbers support, generate some interest and get your place sold.

Remember that www.realasave.com can help you save lots of cash on commissions with our Colorado commission rebate program and flat-fee listing service, so email bob@realasave.com for more info.

Episode #32: Random Thoughts for Rookies

Tuesday, October 13th, 2009 by Bob Connors

If you’re a first-time home buyer here in the Colorado Front Range region you should have someone on your side.  Whether it’s Real-a-Save or some other agent, or even a lawyer, it really doesn’t matter.  The main point is that you should have someone who is representing your best interests.

Many home buyers start their home search by calling listing agents directly. Now, that’s fine if you plan on using that particular listing agent as your representative, but maybe not so fine if you plan on having a Buyer’s Agent represent you.  If it’s your intention to use Real-a-Save, or some other real estate company as your agent then it may be best if you direct all information requests and especially showing requests through your agent and NOT through the listing agent.

Just out of courtesy, it’s advisable not to waste the listing agent’s time.  But you also want to avoid raising the specter of Procuring Cause.  Procuring Cause is a sticky issue in real estate and one that cause many a mediation session between Realtors.  When an agent claims procuring cause they’re basically saying that they’re the reason you bought the house.  Some listing agents have tried to claim procuring cause when they’ve opened doors for a buyer (like you) and then that buyer later comes back with their own agent to make an offer.  Personally, I think this is a ridiculous practice and those listing agents should be ashamed of themselves for this level of greed.

Be very careful when you begin your home search.  Feel free to email bob@realasave.com if you have any questions about Buyer’s Agency.